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Bitcoin is not the only one who has suffered. Investors concern as cryptocurrency has followed the recent decrease in S&P 500. But if the past performance is an indication, Bitcoin It could be experiencing a resurgence.
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The president of the United States, Donald Trump, assumed the position in November for a second mandate, but since then, the US stock market has decreased by approximately 10%. Since the global recession reached the markets in 2009, this is the worst beginning for a presidency of the United States. Although there are numerous causes for this decrease, uncertainty about economic strategy and inflation concerns have contributed.
In the past, it has often pointed to imminent volatility when the S&P 500 and Bitcoin decrease simultaneously. The 2022 Bear market, which saw prolonged losses, was the last time both markets fell precipitously at the same time. However, not all dives lead to prolonged alive. Some have led to a remarkable rebound, especially from the cycles to the middle of the cryptocurrency.
How is the market reacting to Trump’s second mandate?
From its return, the S&P 500 has fallen 9%, marking the worst start of a presidency since 2009.
At that time, a recession led the drop. This time, uncertainty is in the driver’s seat.
Let’s immerse ourselves in the data 🧵👇 pic.twitter.com/a10f0qtweb
– Cryptoquant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 12, 2025
Bitcoin and actions that move together, for now
Bitcoin has been known for a long time as “digital gold”, but now it works more as a technological stock. According to a Cryptocharging researchThe price of Bitcoin has tracked traditional markets, particularly the S&P 500. This pattern is not new. During the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020, cryptography and actions fell together before recovering later that year.
But Endotheblock analysts found that Bitcoin’s relationship To the S&P 500 has fallen to essentially zero. This would suggest that, in line with the pattern of long -term holders, BTC is beginning to migrate outside conventional finances.
If this decoupling continues, the movement in the price of Bitcoin could depend less on the changes in the stock market.
Historical trends suggest a recovery
According to Cryptoquant, the previous data show that Bitcoin has frequently recovered after strong corrections. For example, in 2018, Bitcoin lost approximately 80% of its value before recovering in 2019. Similarly, after the 2020 accident, Bitcoin reached new historical maximums in 2021.
Another statistic to monitor is the Coinbase Prima Index, which measures the difference in Bitcoin prices between Coinbase and Binance. When this indicator becomes negative and then returns to the positive territory, it has generally indicated an imminent rebound of prices.
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Caution and optimism among analysts
Meanwhile, market analysts remain divided. Some warn that Bitcoin’s recession could indicate that the general increase in the stock market is untenable. Tyler Richey, Sevens Report Research co -editor, declared that Bitcoin’s low performance compared to its January peak could be a warning signal for shares.
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