Today, global markets opened the dance with an avalanche of red, so much that this Monday can be defined as the new Black Monday of modern finance. Cryptocurrencies have been swept by a wave of forced sales, with liquidations greater than 1.36 billion dollars in just 24 hours. Meanwhile, the indices of actions of the United States and Asia have lost between 6% and 10%, which reflects a climate of fear fed by an explosive mixture of geopolitical tensions, aggressive economic policies and growing signs of an imminent recession.
Risk of American recession in 2025: forecasts bend in a few days
According to Polymket data, a decentralized prediction market platform, the probability that the United States enters a recession in 2025 has experienced a dramatic increase. Until the end of February, the consensus was quite cautious, with a probability below 30%. But between March and early April, the stage changed radically. On April 6, user bets indicate a risk of previous recession 65%More than duplicating in less than three weeks.
This sudden change in feeling reflects the growing concern for macroeconomic instability and the impact of protectionist policies adopted by the United States.
Bitcoin below $ 75,000: record and panic settlements among investors
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Leading panic was once again Bitcoin (BTC), which lost the critical threshold of $ 75,000, reaching minimums of minimums of $ 74,666 in Crypto.com and other platforms. This technical rupture triggered a Liquidations waterfalleliminating billions in leverage long positions.
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According Caramel dataThe total liquidations exceeded 1.36 billion dollars In the previous 24 hours:
- Bitcoin: on 392 million dollars liquidated in long positions
- Ethereum (eth): about 328 million
- Alternative (Sol, XRP, Doge and others): almost 400 million
Red cryptocurrencies: Ethereum, Solana and XRP Plummet in 20%
Cryptocurrencies have registered two -digit losses, with Ether (eth) minus 20% a $ 1,449, Solana (Sol) chopped below $ 100 and XRP stuck at $ 1.69. BNB It also experienced a decrease close to 10%, while medium and low capitalization tokens sank between 10%and 20%.
About 86% of futures merchants had positioned themselves a lot, betting on an imminent price rebound. However, the violence of the fall forced the platforms to liquidate thousands of positions, accentuating the collapse.
Trump’s tariffs unleash the storm: the collapse of Wall Street and Asia
The detonator of this global “Flash Crash” was the new commercial policy announced by the president Donald Trump. On April 4, Trump signed an executive order that imposed significant rates in a wide range of imports from China and the European Union, as part of a strategy called “Liberation Day.”
The market reaction was immediate and violent:
- S&P 500: -5.98%
- Nasdaq 100: -6.2%
- Dow Jones: -5.5%
Asian markets also suffered great losses on Monday morning:
- Nikkei 225 (Japan): -8.9%
- Taiex (Taiwan): -10%, with activation of the circuit switch in TSMC and Foxconn
- Hang Seng (Hong Kong): -9%
- CSI300 (China): -5%
Kiyosaki: “Recession in progress. Next stop: depression”
Adding fuel to the fire was Robert Kiyosakiauthor of the bestseller Poor dad dad dadthat he declared publicly:
“The greatest financial crisis in history has come. We are in a recession, and depression is very close.”
According to Kiyosaki, the current crisis represents the end of financial security for millions of investors. His advice remains the same: to flee from traditional assets and take refuge in Gold, silver and bitcoinconsidered real assets in a collapse system.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis: 50W EMA and Bear Bear market risk rest
From a technical point of view, Bitcoin has lost the 50 weeks mobile (EMA)a bearish signal that historically precedes long periods of correction. If the trend is not invested, the following key support is around $ 69,000which is the previous maximum of all time and the average entry price of Michael Saylor.
The main “Bluechip” chips have lost more than 20% in a single day. Some analysts see signs of over -sales and possible rebounds, but the feeling is still strongly taken.
The Great Escape: $ 11 Billones Burned and Outputs
Fear is palpable even among institutional and retail investors. According to CNBC data, only last Friday 1.5 billion dollars from capital funds were withdrawn In less than three hours. March marked one of the largest monthly outputs in recent years.
The balance is very heavy: More than 11 billion dollars erased from US markets since February 19, with only one day, on April 4, which saw losses of 3.25 billion dollarsmore than all the value of the encryption market, which was 2.68 billion.
Conclusion: Black Monday or momentary uncertainty?
Stock markets and decline cryptography, the risk of recession of the United States increase abruptly, increase commercial rates and investor exodus. The ingredients for a new Black Monday They are all there.
The year 2025 runs the risk of becoming the year of the great global correction, while anticipation grows for possible interventions by the Fed or a reconsideration of the Trump administration. In the absence of positive signals, the weather remains tense and highly volatile.
