This article is also available in Spanish.
In a thread on a significant weight in the investment community.
Bitcoin predictions for 2025
Milne began his forecast by addressing the possible involvement of the United States in the accumulation of Bitcoin. “Some of my Bitcoin predictions for 2025: The most important: Trump will not announce the purchase of Bitcoin on behalf of the US in 2025, but he will sign an order that will prevent any seized BTC from being sold… creating a reserve de facto. It will continue to create global FOMO,” Milne said.
Related reading
Thus, Milne predicts that Trump will not follow US Senator Cynthia Lummis’ Bitcoin Law, which proposes buying 1 million BTC in five years. However, Milne believes that the United States, under President-elect Trump, will keep its 198,109 BTC (according to Arkham data) as a national reserve, as Trump promised during the last Bitcoin Conference in Nashville, which could generate fear of missing out (FOMO ) globally.
Broadening the international landscape, Milne predicts greater adoption by smaller, more agile nations. “Other smaller, more agile nations (in addition to Bhutan and El Salvador) will announce their Bitcoin reserves and begin buying or mining before the United States. Middle Eastern countries will begin to announce their participation,” he noted.
Corporate commitment to Bitcoin is also expected to increase. Milne predicts that at least one other S&P 500 company, meaning not Tesla or MicroStrategy, will announce a Bitcoin acquisition in 2025.
Related reading
Price projections remain bullish in Milne’s Bitcoin predictions. He anticipates: “Bitcoin should reach around $200-250k even without the US government buying it. If the United States starts buying, expect close to $500,000. Yes, in 2025. This is because it officially becomes an arms race between nation states and there is not enough Bitcoin.”
Milne also addresses market dynamics and predicts that Bitcoin will peak in the second half of the year. While his suggestion is October, he posits that the bear market will be “significantly softer than previous ones, as nation states and corporations slowly accumulate.”
Addressing concerns regarding security and market stability, Milne mentions: “Bitfinex finally returns most of its hacked BTC… causing a temporary drop in the market as people FUD and say they will get rid of Bitcoin (they won’t, We will slowly convert 80% to LEO in 18 months).”
The collapse and subsequent recovery of major exchanges also plays a role in Milne’s Bitcoin predictions for 2025. He states: “FTX begins distributing the dollar to creditors in the first quarter, through several large exchanges… facilitating reinvestment in Bitcoin, etc. At least 50% of the returned money will be reinvested.” This influx of reinvested funds is expected to inject liquidity back into the Bitcoin market, fueling a further price rally.
Milne does not overlook the performance of institutional investors, noting that “MSTR achieves a ‘Bitcoin return’ of ~30% in 2025 before the premium closes.” Finally, Milne concludes his Bitcoin predictions with a note to Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht. During the election campaign, incoming US President Donald Trump promised to free Ulbricht. He predicts that Trump will follow his words: “Ross will be released.”
At the time of publication, BTC was trading at $93,070.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
