The financial forecast market is heated with the recent initiative of Poomariowhich has introduced two prediction markets on Fort Knox and the possibility of an official audit of its gold reserves.
The debate on the transparency of the United States Treasury has revived after the growing pressure on Donald Trump Make a complete audit of gold reserves.
Polymarket and the commitment to Fort Knox reserves
On February 17, Polymket opened two prediction markets related to Fort Knox. He first refers to the possibility that Government Efficiency Department (Doge)sponsored by ELON ALMIZCLEaudit gold reserves in May 2025. second Predict the results of said audit, hypothesizing possible discrepancies in official data.
At this time, the chances of the audit will be carried out in April 2025 will be 56%, which suggests generalized skepticism among investors about the possibility of effective government intervention.
Despite the strong impulse for transparency, the United States Treasury has not carried out an official inspection of gold held in Fort Knox Since 1974.
Polymarket, a platform that allows you to bet on financial and political events using cryptovalute, registered an increase in activity during US presidential elections.
Despite the prohibition of access to American users, the platform continues to gain popularity among international investors for their ability to provide predictive information about global events.
Trump in silence about Fort Knox’s audit
The American Reerves theme has returned to attention after Kentucky Senator Rand Paul Formally requested an audit of the reservations on February 16.
The problem has been amplified by the conservative commentator Glenn Beckwho sent an open letter to Donald Trumpurging immediate action to guarantee transparency and confidence in public accounts.
In the letter, Beck declared:
“I request the opportunity to bring a television team under the most rigorous security measures to document and verify the presence of American gold reserves”.
In addition, he added that this operation could be a decisive moment in the struggle for transparency and reaffirm the centrality of the United States in the global economic system.
Despite the support of ELON ALMIZCLEwho has repeatedly advocated the need for an audit, Triumph He has not yet published official statements on the matter.
During his 2016 election campaign, the former president had raised doubts about the real amount of gold held by the United States, suggesting the need for an independent audit. However, during his mandate, no measure was implemented in this regard.
Implications for the gold and cryptocurrency market
Speculation in Fort Knox It has generated a wave of interest in the gold and cryptocurrency market. If an audit was really performed and discrepancies in the declared reserves, one could witness a significant volatility in the value of gold and the US dollar.
The forecasts of Poomario Represent a thermometer of the trust of investors in the transparency of the US government. In a scenario in which decentralized finances and cryptocurrencies are gaining ground as an alternative to traditional systems, the problem of gold reserves could assume a crucial role in future economic policies.
While the debate continues, it remains to be seen if the political pressure and the media will lead to a specific action. Until then, prediction markets will continue to reflect the uncertainties and expectations of global investors.
